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Gun Reports Home >> News

John Lott Dissects
HuffPo Gun-Crime Article

August 14, 2012

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(GunReports.com) -- John Lott, writing on this personal blog johnrlott.blogspot.com, commented that there has been a lot of discussion about Australia's gun control laws. He cites a piece at the Huffington Post.

A decade-long examination of the program in the journal "Injury Prevention" concluded that "chances of gun death in Australia dropped twice as steeply" after the program was implemented. A study by Harvard University in the Spring of 2011 suggested that the program helped reduce, either causally or directly, firearm deaths, gun-related suicides and accidental shootings. The Washington Post, summarizing many of the studies, concluded that there was "strong circumstantial evidence for the law's effectiveness." . . .

Lott says, "Of course, the Huffington Post ignores that more sophisticated research finds no benefit from these laws. A paper by Lee and Suardi in Economic Inquiry in 2009 does an excellent job of looking at the issue.

"Here is the actual data from Australia. First note that homicides didn't fall until eight years after the laws. It is not clear what theory they have for why the


long delay would occur. Nor can I even find an acknowledgment of that long lag in the cited literature."

Crime can change for lots of reasons besides changes in gun control laws, Lott said. "One way to get a handle on this is to see how Australian homicides are changing relative to other crime rates. A single continuous crime data series isn't available, but the two diagrams below show how homicides is falling almost continuously as a fraction of violent crime. If anything, the drop in homicides relative to overall violent crime was biggest in the 1970s," he wrote.

Some notes on claims about Australia's crime rates can be found here.


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Reader Comments

I'd bet the downward trend has more to do with the expansion of the Australian economy than anything else. Unlike the US, they've done well over the past five years due to rising commodity demand.

Stop playing the confiscators' game!!!

It doesn't matter whether murders fell or not. It doesn't matter if gun crime went down. It makes no difference if fewer children kill themselves playing with daddy's gun. Stop arguing these statistics with them. Being right means nothing. They WANT you to argue statistics with them.

If they locked us all in prison, crime and accidents would go down then too. What matters is freedom. Gun laws serve one (real) purpose and one purpose ONLY. To disarm the populace in preparation for dictatorship. Don't think so? Ask the Australian people, not the Australian gun grabbers and dictators.

Better yet, ask ANY DISARMED POPULATION in the last 2000 years! If that isn't enough proof for you, then you are simply too stupid to understand.

Huffington Post is a Liberal mouthpiece for the most up-to-date Liberal spin on things. At least it makes no pretensions on being neutral or in providing unbiased news, so in that respect they are at least honest in their dishonesty.

HuffPost is ABSOLUTELY the last place to search for any meaningful, accurate news reporting. To say is it left wing is like saying Washington was a white guy.

Their infatuation with Kim Kardashian and Miley Cyrus must consume most of their news budget because their "other reports" are just fluff and rarely informative or accurate.

Well said DK!

I should have added to "ask any disarmed population in the last 2000 years" the modifier, "if you can find any survivors"!

Got yer point anyway...

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